Raw Data

Spreadsheets & downloadsEvery CSV, JSON, and Excel artifact the model produces. Show-your-work transparency. Currently public — premium gating comes later.

15 files across 5 sections, refreshed by the daily build cron. Click any filename to download. JSON and CSV are human-readable; the .xlsx opens in Excel / Numbers / Sheets.

All artifacts are currently free to download. As we accumulate a longer track record + add NCAAF and other sports, this page may move to a subscriber tier — the underlying picks-log data here is the audit trail for everything we publish.

Daily Card

Refreshed every morning by 11:00 AM ET, per BRAND_GUIDE.

File	Description	Size	Updated (UTC)
mlb_daily.xlsx Comprehensive Excel workbook. Every market, every game, every projection. Includes today's gated picks, multi-season backtest, and per-market calibration. Best single download for power users.	Comprehensive Excel workbook. Every market, every game, every projection. Includes today's gated picks, multi-season backtest, and per-market calibration. Best single download for power users.	167 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
todays_card.csv Today's picks — only the bets that cleared the BRAND_GUIDE gate (≥+1% ROI on 200+ bets AND Brier <0.246 multi-season). What's also rendered on the Daily Card page.	Today's picks — only the bets that cleared the BRAND_GUIDE gate (≥+1% ROI on 200+ bets AND Brier <0.246 multi-season). What's also rendered on the Daily Card page.	3 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
mlb_daily.json Same data as the Excel workbook in JSON form. The website's own daily-card page reads from this file.	Same data as the Excel workbook in JSON form. The website's own daily-card page reads from this file.	25.9 MB	2018-10-20 01:46Z

Per-Market Projections

Every game on today's slate, every market — including the ones currently gated off the daily card. Useful if you want to see the underlying numbers behind the gating decisions.

File	Description	Size	Updated (UTC)
moneyline.csv Moneyline projections + edges for every game on today's slate. Currently gated off the daily card on Brier — included here so power users can see the underlying numbers.	Moneyline projections + edges for every game on today's slate. Currently gated off the daily card on Brier — included here so power users can see the underlying numbers.	38 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
run_line.csv Run line (-1.5/+1.5) projections + edges. Multi-season backtest: 60.7% / +15.85% ROI / Brier 0.2384. Currently shipping on the daily card.	Run line (-1.5/+1.5) projections + edges. Multi-season backtest: 60.7% / +15.85% ROI / Brier 0.2384. Currently shipping on the daily card.	39 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
totals.csv Over/under run totals projections + edges. Multi-season backtest: 55.2% / +5.22% ROI / Brier 0.2455. Currently shipping on the daily card.	Over/under run totals projections + edges. Multi-season backtest: 55.2% / +5.22% ROI / Brier 0.2455. Currently shipping on the daily card.	51 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
first_5.csv First-5-innings (F5) moneyline projections + edges. Currently gated on borderline ROI (+0.37%); included for transparency.	First-5-innings (F5) moneyline projections + edges. Currently gated on borderline ROI (+0.37%); included for transparency.	34 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
first_inning.csv First-inning NRFI/YRFI projections + edges. Currently gated on multi-season ROI (-3.33%); single-season was a fluke.	First-inning NRFI/YRFI projections + edges. Currently gated on multi-season ROI (-3.33%); single-season was a fluke.	32 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
team_totals.csv Per-team-total over/under projections. Currently gated on Brier (0.2506); included for transparency.	Per-team-total over/under projections. Currently gated on Brier (0.2506); included for transparency.	73 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z

Track Record

Every pick we've shipped, graded against actual results, with closing-line value computed from the closing-snapshot cron.

File	Description	Size	Updated (UTC)
picks_log.json Every pick we've shipped, with closing-line snapshot, computed CLV, win/loss result, and units P/L. Append-only, idempotent. Source data for the track record.	Every pick we've shipped, with closing-line snapshot, computed CLV, win/loss result, and units P/L. Append-only, idempotent. Source data for the track record.	35 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
clv_summary.json Aggregate CLV stats — overall and per-market — recomputed every morning and after every closing-line snapshot. The truth-teller: long-run profitability tracks CLV more strongly than raw W-L.	Aggregate CLV stats — overall and per-market — recomputed every morning and after every closing-line snapshot. The truth-teller: long-run profitability tracks CLV more strongly than raw W-L.	2 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z

Calibration & Backtest

The numbers behind the model. Multi-season backtest results, the BRAND_GUIDE gate inputs, and the calibrated distribution constants.

File	Description	Size	Updated (UTC)
backtest.csv Multi-season backtest results by market. Used as the BRAND_GUIDE gate input — markets only ship to the daily card after passing here.	Multi-season backtest results by market. Used as the BRAND_GUIDE gate input — markets only ship to the daily card after passing here.	40 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
backtest.json Same as backtest.csv in JSON form.	Same as backtest.csv in JSON form.	22.8 MB	2018-10-20 01:46Z
calibration.json Calibrated standard deviations + ML logistic slope, fit from multi-season residuals. Re-fit each morning so distribution assumptions stay anchored to recent reality.	Calibrated standard deviations + ML logistic slope, fit from multi-season residuals. Re-fit each morning so distribution assumptions stay anchored to recent reality.	3 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z

Live Market Data

Today's market state at the time of this morning's build.

File	Description	Size	Updated (UTC)
lines.json Current market odds across books for today's slate. Source: The Odds API, fetched every morning before the build.	Current market odds across books for today's slate. Source: The Odds API, fetched every morning before the build.	25 KB	2018-10-20 01:46Z

File contents reflect the most recent successful daily build. Timestamps are filesystem mtime at the deployed Vercel snapshot — they update each time the data files commit to main and the site rebuilds.