Game Total
CIN@CHC
UNDER 11.5
A: Chase Petty · H: Edward Cabrera
Edge
+13.20%
Model
65.0%
Market
-108
lowvig
2u
(capped from 3u)
Today
2026-05-0410 plays on the card.
12 games on the slate · 22 priced via the-odds-api · published
Signal Elite
Game Total
MIL@STL
OVER 8.5
A: Chad Patrick · H: Kyle Leahy
Edge
+8.18%
Model
61.4%
Market
-114
betrivers
3u
Game Total
PHI@MIA
UNDER 8.5
A: Aaron Nola · H: Janson Junk
Edge
+7.87%
Model
59.2%
Market
-105
fanduel
3u
Game Total
BAL@NYY
OVER 8.5
A: Shane Baz · H: Cam Schlittler
Edge
+7.63%
Model
58.9%
Market
-105
fanatics
3u
Game Total
SD@SF
UNDER 8.0
A: Randy Vásquez · H: Trevor McDonald
Edge
+6.37%
Model
57.4%
Market
-104
lowvig
2u
(capped from 3u)
Run Line
LAD@HOU
HOU
A: Yoshinobu Yamamoto · H: Steven Okert
Edge
+6.02%
Model
54.1%
Market
+108
lowvig
3u
Run Line
CIN@CHC
CIN
A: Chase Petty · H: Edward Cabrera
Edge
+5.19%
Model
55.7%
Market
-102
lowvig
2u
(capped from 3u)
Game Total
CWS@LAA
OVER 7.5
A: Davis Martin · H: José Soriano
Edge
+3.71%
Model
56.9%
Market
-114
betrivers
2u
Run Line
SD@SF
SF
A: Randy Vásquez · H: Trevor McDonald
Edge
+3.42%
Model
61.9%
Market
-141
fanatics
1.5u
(capped from 3u)
Run Line
NYM@COL
COL
A: Huascar Brazobán · H: Tomoyuki Sugano
Edge
+3.20%
Model
59.7%
Market
-130
fanduel
2u
| Tier | Matchup | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Book | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Signal Elite | CIN@CHC A: Chase Petty · H: Edward Cabrera | UNDER 11.5 Game Total | +13.20% | 65.0% | -108 | lowvig | 2u (capped from 3u) |
| Signal Elite | MIL@STL A: Chad Patrick · H: Kyle Leahy | OVER 8.5 Game Total | +8.18% | 61.4% | -114 | betrivers | 3u |
| Signal Elite | PHI@MIA A: Aaron Nola · H: Janson Junk | UNDER 8.5 Game Total | +7.87% | 59.2% | -105 | fanduel | 3u |
| Signal Elite | BAL@NYY A: Shane Baz · H: Cam Schlittler | OVER 8.5 Game Total | +7.63% | 58.9% | -105 | fanatics | 3u |
| Signal Elite | SD@SF A: Randy Vásquez · H: Trevor McDonald | UNDER 8.0 Game Total | +6.37% | 57.4% | -104 | lowvig | 2u (capped from 3u) |
| Signal Elite | LAD@HOU A: Yoshinobu Yamamoto · H: Steven Okert | HOU Run Line | +6.02% | 54.1% | +108 | lowvig | 3u |
| Signal Elite | CIN@CHC A: Chase Petty · H: Edward Cabrera | CIN Run Line | +5.19% | 55.7% | -102 | lowvig | 2u (capped from 3u) |
| Strong Signal | CWS@LAA A: Davis Martin · H: José Soriano | OVER 7.5 Game Total | +3.71% | 56.9% | -114 | betrivers | 2u |
| Strong Signal | SD@SF A: Randy Vásquez · H: Trevor McDonald | SF Run Line | +3.42% | 61.9% | -141 | fanatics | 1.5u (capped from 3u) |
| Strong Signal | NYM@COL A: Huascar Brazobán · H: Tomoyuki Sugano | COL Run Line | +3.20% | 59.7% | -130 | fanduel | 2u |
Tier and unit count are derived from the model's edge over the current best market price. Picks below the per-market edge threshold are excluded from this card and listed in the FADE / SKIP section in the daily backtest output. CLV is captured at first pitch and shown on the track record.